Will I reach an unbroken 500 day prediction streak?

Plus

Ṁ5893

resolved Dec 8

Resolved

YES

ALL

Today, I had the honor of hitting an important milestone of a prediction streak.

The question is, how far will I go? If I receive a notification regarding a successful 500 day prediction streak, resolve to YES. If I don't, for any reason, resolve to NO. As of now, I intend to reach this goal, as I see no reason to stop being an active member of Manifold, but who knows what could happen over a year from now. I may bet YES in this market for motivation, but obviously will not bet NO.

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15 Comments

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There it is. Thanks for taking this (long) journey with me!

bought Ṁ1 NO

I'd bet there's a virtual non-zero chance of some catastrophic event occurring that severs your ability to interact with the internet in the remaining time of this market.

Ṁ1 on NO. Best of luck proving me wrong.

Eh, I take that back. I didn't realize the market closed that soon. I'll take my chip back.

@Quroe I believe I set the close date a little early so people couldn't trade at the very end with complete confidence. If it's too risky for your 1 Mana I suppose I understand lol