This market will resolve YES if I'm still active on Manifold by the end of 2025, and NO otherwise. I will bet only YES.
Mini
10
แน€559
Dec 31
91%
chance

I'll try to resolve this market YES within 2 weeks of its closing.

I ask the admins to resolve this market NO, if I am unable to resolve this market within these two weeks. If I forget about this market, but I can resolve it after these 2 weeks, then I will resolve it NO.


I will buy only YES shares on this market. And probably a lot of YES shares. So you can get my mana in the case if I die or abandon Manifold or whatever.

Call it inheritance market, I'm selling you my mana in the timeline where I abandon manifold and mana is worthless to me.

I executed previous one just as I promised, as a datapoint: https://manifold.markets/Lavander/this-market-will-resolve-yes-if-im

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"probably a lot of yes shares" and a 10 mana buy drops 6 percentage points, OP activity rate seems also consistently 1-4d between trades, if anything this is an easy way to make tiny returns off yes

@OKanon Place a limit order at like 96% I will eat it when I would have spare liquidity.

Looks like a roundabound way of suicide prevention

If I understand correctly you don't have an intention of "selling " your position, or might you withdraw in a mana shortage situation?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen selling position is equivalent to betting in opposite direction from your position the same amount. So, no, I will not.

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