In what quarter of a year will the criminal trial in Georgia against Trump have opening statements
In what quarter of a year will the criminal trial in Georgia against Trump have opening statements
Mini
9
Ṁ11k2026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
0.1%
Q1 2024
0.1%
Q2 2024
1.3%
Q3 2024
0.1%
Q4 2024
0.1%
Q1 2025
0.1%
Q2 2025
0.1%
Q3 2025
0.1%
Q4 2025
0.1%
Q1 2026
0.1%
Q2 2026
0.1%
Q3 2026
0.1%
Q4 2026
98%
None of the above
Market will resolve on the day any opening statements in the criminal trial against Trump in Georgia begins
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@HillaryClinton hi, this is a dependent market (all probs sum to 1.0), which means that only one answer will Resolve YES. there’s no way to Resolve anything NO before that.
fees are currently gone, so you can sell your positions without losing much. but the mods can’t help you here.
opened a Ṁ60 Q3 2024 YES at 10% order6mo
@mattyb Thanks for letting me know. I have a ton of Mana locked up in Q3 2024. I already moved the market to 14% for something that should be 0%, since the date has passed.
I'll just wait and hope someone comes along and is willing to wait years for the free return.
bought Ṁ850 Q3 2024 NO10mo
Please resolve Q1 2024 as NO. You can resolve that without resolving the others.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
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