What topics or who will Elon Musk tweet about on X before Veterans Day (EOD November 11th)? [ADD YOUR OWN]
84
Ṁ25k
Nov 12
50%
2nd presidential debate between Harris and Trump
50%
Haitians eating pets [after September 16th]
50%
Taylor Swift [after September 16th]
6%
RFK Jr. and an unusual situation with a dead animal
53%
Literally “woke mind virus”
46%
Veterans Day
13%
J.D. Vance having sex with a couch
23%
Nate Silver
8%
Melinda Gates
8%
Independence Day Firework
10%
2nd presidential debate between Biden and Trump
16%
Lidar
33%
The UAW
7%
Pluto
8%
Julian Assange
16%
Obamacare
12%
Manifold
39%
Columbus Day
11%
French legislative election (parliament)
7%
Tour de France

Whatever Musk tweets or reposts, including reposts (the content directly visible in the repost and pictures (videos, podcasts, etc. are excluded) without opening a thread) after market creation/adding the submission, counts. Whatever is visible under "Posts" on his page, even if deleted later, also counts. Replies, etc., do not count.

  • Please don't submit any obvious answers like "SpaceX" or topics he regulary posts about. [I'll N/A obvious spam and rename.]

  • Literally submissions will only be based on what Musk directly types on X in his own posts and in the text above reposts. This does not include what other people write or what he uses in replies. Furthermore, it does not include what he says in a video or what is visible in a picture or meme, even if these contain words.

Resolution criteria

  • I'll be fairly relaxed, but it should be clear and obvious. I.e. if he tweets "the president does[...]," Joe Biden would resolve to yes. However, "Obamacare" won't resolve "Obama." "Transgender" isn't enough to resolve "LGBT," but "LGBTQIA+" and "transgender, [...] homosexuals and bisexuals" would resolve "LGBT." If the submission requires an international context, the submission won't resolve if Musk only mentions a single country. If you need more examples, please feel free to ask.

  • I'll use my own judgment and might seek input from mods in unclear cases or decide to N/A or resolve to 50%/50%.

  • I won't bet in this market except to push certain answers in the ranking.

  • The question closes at the end of Veterans Day [2024-11-11] at 23:59:59 PT. Any submissions without proof by November 13th at 0:00 PST will be resolved as NO.

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Only original posts and reposts are considered for this question. Replies do not count.

If you'd like to add a submission but don't have the Mana for it, please do not hesitate to ask. I'm happy to add it 🧡

Quick links:

This deserves a nomination for the worst tweet of the year 🤮. Here's a screenshot in case he deletes it...

Literally “woke mind virus”

@Rolledupaces Added "Literally" to clearify

🥳

I don't remember adding this answer and have no idea what I was going for, but I'm glad to see past-me is doing great things.

Better buy your coconut futures now...

https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1817927222553952496

Nate Silver

@shankypanky Metamarket: Will this market resolve based on a Starlink post about Internet in China?😂

will this market resolve based on Elon posting about porcelain dishware? 😂

Can't believe we both have been that wrong, of course it's the population collapse https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1821408782712291808

Tour de France

FYI, there is still a TdF in August and it goes through Valkenburg 🧡. If Musk doesn't tweet about it, I don't know what is wrong with him.

Manifold

well he knows about Manifold now lol

haha, maybe the outage wasn't the worst thing after all

Thanks