Will Russia retaliate militarily on any non-participating member of NATO before the end of 2025?
Plus
14
αΉ3722Jan 1
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if Russia conducts a military operation against any NATO member (as of November 2024), without that member having declared a war, or conducted a military operation against Russia.
Countries providing military, humanitarian, or financial aide are not considered participating.
Get αΉ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will NATO take direct military action against Russia by the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2026?
2% chance
Will Russia strike NATO member countries hosting transit bases for Ukrainian military equipment by EOY 2025?
14% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will NATO article 5 (collective Defense) be instigated before the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will a NATO country shoot down a crewed Russian aircraft in 2025?
15% chance
Will NATO still exist by the end of 2025?
99% chance
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
8% chance
Will Russia attack NATO before 2034?
41% chance