How many people will claim UK asylum for the year ending December 2024?
Mini
6
Ṁ248resolved Jun 21
Resolved
105,000-110,0001D
1W
1M
ALL
As reported by gov.uk.
Figure for December 23 is 83,000:
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/65df074bf1cab30011fc4849/imm-stats-dec-23-01.svg
I WILL be betting on this question myself.
Update 2025-06-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified the market will resolve according to the data on this
gov.uk
page:
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Latest release up to march 2024: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/immigration-system-statistics-year-ending-march-2024
@LukeShadwell Looks like this is the most relevant graph, seems to be increasing again, possibly due to the Israel-Gaza War

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