Will an AR/VR product from Apple overtake iPhones 10 years after Vision Pro's launch?
Mini
4
Ṁ1712034
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will resolve this if I subjectively determine that Apple has a different product which is more popular/useful than an iPhone in 2034, 10 years after Vision Pro launch. I predicted YES at launch, but pretty sure that's not true anymore.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Apple release an accessory that converts the iPhone into a VR/AR headset (VisionPro) by end of 2028? (~5 years)
21% chance
Will Apple release an accessory that converts the iPhone into a VR/AR headset (VisionPro) by end of 2026? [~3 years]
13% chance
Will Apple release another Vision product in 2025?
67% chance
How much will the VR market grow as a result of Apple Vision Pro
Will Apple sell more than 1 million Vision Pro devices by end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Vision Pro, and other Apple headset models be priced at less than $1,000 by 2025?
12% chance
Will Vision Pro, and other Apple headset models be priced at less than $1,500 by 2025?
16% chance
Will there be double the units sold of the Apple Vision Air than the Apple Vision Pro by 2026?
30% chance
Will Apple's VR headset become a mainstream product like video projectors before 2030?
25% chance
Will Apple still be developing the Vision Pro (or successor) after 2030?
81% chance