UK General Election: How many seats will the Conservative Party win?
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Ṁ28kresolved Jul 5
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100%84%
<125
14%
125-154
1.5%
155-184
0.9%
185+
The election has been announced for July 4th, and the Labour party is expected to take power from the Conservatives. How many seats will the Conservatives win?
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<125
@ManifoldPolitics resolves to this option, 2 seats left to declare and the Conservatives currently hold 121 seats.
@Noit seems pretty implausible to me. But I keep betting Labour down and Tories up and everybody else doing the opposite, and I have pretty much no justification except vibes. Starting to sweat here. 😅