Will there be more robots than humans by 2100?
Mini
9
Ṁ101
2100
81%
chance

On Earth. By 'robot,' I mean a humanoid machine with human-like (or above) intelligence and mobility.

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Probably I should specify "on Earth" 😅

The phrase 'non trivial ai' is capable of diverse definitions but my guess that the answer is yes for almost all of them.

Mmmh, so a docker container wouldn't be a robot

@NuñoSempere I was thinking washing machines.

Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by Seers

https://manifold.markets/MarcioDiaz/will-there-be-more-robots-than-huma?r=TWFyY2lvRGlheg

My guess is that the answer is probably YES, assuming humans reach a max population of about 10 billions and at some point in the next 20 years robots start growing exponentially fast.

Came with this question after Elon's tweet: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1614101148587237377?s=20&t=bIhF2SHxH_Qa3hfCPN2BDw

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