Will any state ban porn by 2030?
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11
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2030
38%
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A "ban" isn't just "restrictions," but "it is illegal to own, sell, make, and/or distribute pornography" in a state.

  • Update 2025-08-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolves YES if, by 2030, any state ban on pornography goes into effect at any point (even briefly), even if it is later struck down by a court.

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What if the state legislature passes such a law, but it's struck down by a court (either state or federal)?

@ShankarSivarajan I don't think this edge case would come up (basically every court has agreed that restrictions on porn are not covered by the first amendment), but I'd say if it goes into effect even momentarily this question resolves yes

Right now, the most likely state appears to be Oklahoma - a state legislator recently introduced a bill to do just that (tacked on to a bill that ups charges for CSAM, of course). I've put up a market for Oklahoma specifically, as well: