꧁∙·▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫꧁ MarkMyWords Series ꧂▫ₒₒ▫ᵒᴼᵒ▫ₒₒ▫·∙꧂

The Mark My Words series takes actionable and popular posts from the Mark My Words subreddit and turns them into a prediction market. Hope you enjoy the format!

https://www.reddit.com/r/MarkMyWords/comments/1e89fyk/mmw_the_gops_mass_deportations_will_devastate_the/

Resolution Criteria:

1. The market will resolve as "Yes" if:

   • A mass deportation policy targeting undocumented immigrants is officially implemented by the U.S. government AND

   • The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for food shows an increase of 15% or more within 12 months of the policy's implementation date

2. The market will resolve as "No" if:

   • No mass deportation policy is implemented by December 31, 2025, OR

   • A mass deportation policy is implemented, but the CPI for food does not increase by 15% or more within 12 months of implementation

3. Implementation of a mass deportation policy is defined as:

   • An official executive order or enacted legislation that aims to deport at least 1 million undocumented immigrants within a 12-month period

4. The CPI for food will be measured using the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' official data

5. The market will resolve as "Invalid" if:

   • A mass deportation policy is announced but not implemented due to legal challenges or other factors

   • Major external events (e.g., global food crisis, war) significantly impact food prices independently of immigration policy

Resolution Sources:

• Official U.S. government announcements and legislation

• U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI data

• Reports from reputable economic analysis firms