MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
NPVIC Reaches Threshold Before 2030? (No) → Second US Civil War Before 2031
Mini
8
Ṁ652
2031
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

From https://metaculus.com/questions/17272/second-us-civil-war-before-2031/

#Metaculus
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
-3% 1d15% chance
Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?
11% chance
Will the US see a violent insurgency before 2030?
If there is a civil war in America starting before 2030, who will win?
WW3: by 2030
18% chance
NPVIC Reaches Threshold Before 2030? (Yes) → Second US Civil War Before 2031
10% chance
Will >30,000 people die in a US civil war before 2043?
31% chance
Will Violent Insurgencies Emerge in the United States before 2032?
52% chance
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?
25% chance
Will there be WW3 before 2035?
30% chance

Related questions

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
15% chance
NPVIC Reaches Threshold Before 2030? (Yes) → Second US Civil War Before 2031
10% chance
Will the US will have a Civil War by the end of 2028?
11% chance
Will >30,000 people die in a US civil war before 2043?
31% chance
Will the US see a violent insurgency before 2030?
Will Violent Insurgencies Emerge in the United States before 2032?
52% chance
If there is a civil war in America starting before 2030, who will win?
Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?
25% chance
WW3: by 2030
18% chance
Will there be WW3 before 2035?
30% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout