Is there any evidence whatsoever towards this outcome?

@LarsDoucet no!

@LarsDoucet I told an EO friend about the linked market and he wondered if this one existed, so I created it

The way the URL crops this is funny :-)

@Radicalia Want to start a new market?

@Radicalia Absolutely - I really assumed this market would be about whether Biden converts to EA!

@Conflux What EA anyway?

@Radicalia https://manifold.markets/LucaMasters/will-joe-biden-openly-convert-to-ea-3b625d190a8e

Related market: https://manifold.markets/BRTD/will-joe-biden-openly-convert-to-pr?r=TWljaGFlbEJsdW1l