Calif. Prop 50 Vote Percentage

Ṁ58

Nov 26

57%

chance

ALL

This market will resolve to the percent of ballots with a vote on California Proposition 50 (Congressional redistricting) that vote Yes on when the official count of the vote is certified. For example, if the result is 60% yes, 40% no, 55% turnout, the market will resolve to 60%.

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Is there a yes/no prop?

@JimAusman https://manifold.markets/ShankarSivarajan/california-voters-approve-redistric

California voters approve redistricting ballot measure in 2025?

75% chance. In response to Texas Republicans' redistricting efforts, California Governor Gavin Newsom has proposed a special election in November 2025 to allow voters to decide on new congressional maps. The market resolves to 'Yes' if such a ballot measure is approved by voters before 2026, and 'No' otherwise, such as if the ballot measure is not posed, or is posed and rejected.

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