Will any of the following Western countries' legislatures be majority controlled by explicitly fascist or communist political parties before 2030?
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WEIRD = Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, Developed.

List of WEIRD countries for the purposes of this market:

  1. Australia

  2. Austria

  3. Belgium

  4. Canada

  5. Czech Republic

  6. Denmark

  7. Estonia

  8. France

  9. Greece

  10. Germany

  11. Iceland

  12. Italy

  13. Latvia

  14. Luxembourg

  15. Netherlands

  16. New Zealand

  17. Norway

  18. Spain

  19. Sweden

  20. Switzerland

  21. United Kingdom

  22. United States

#๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Politics
#WEIRD Doomsday
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Does a party have to label itself using the words "fascist" or "communist" (or translations) to qualify?

If so: This means the historical NSDAP (Nazis) would not have counted as "fascist"; even though it is typically described today as part of the fascist movement.

Does futarchy count?

predicts NO

@alby Why would it?

predicts NO

Wait, does there need to be over 50% of just one of fascists and communists for this to resolve "yes"? Or is it enough if fascists and communists combined total >50% of the legislature?

predicts NO

@DavidMathers The latter.

What kind of metric will you use to determine the result?

predicts NO

@Odoacre One of these nations will hold an election and more than 50% of the people elected will be held by people who go "yeah, I'm a communist" or similar when you ask them.

predicts NO

@DeanValentine will be people*

predicts NO

@DeanValentine A problem here is that almost no one identifies as a fascist openly, even among parties that are classified by the mainstream media as far-right.

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