Will Hamas carry out at least one lethal attack in the USA in the next twelve months?
14
Ṁ576Jan 2
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if there are at least one incident of terror in the USA claiming one or more lives, attributed to Hamas-affiliated terror cells by authorities or by Hamas credibly claiming credit, in the 12 months since the Tweet posted on Oct 8 2023. (The extra time before close gives some time for incident attribution to resolve.)
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
It seems that Hamas’s activities have pretty much confined to Israel and Palestine for all its history. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hamas
Related questions
Related questions
Will Hamas carry out at least 3 lethal attacks in the USA in the next year?
2% chance
Will Hamas issue an ultimatum threatening to execute a hostage?
30% chance
Will Hamas kill more than 9 people in the US over the next 12 months? (ends 10/10/24)
3% chance
Will Hamas conduct a massive terror attack in a U.S. city before 2025?
6% chance
Will Hamas conduct a massive terror attack in a U.S. city before 2025?
4% chance
Will any of the remaining hostages taken by Hamas on October 7 return home alive before the end of 2024?
74% chance
Will Hamas continue to exist as a military organization in Israel Palestine through 2030?
37% chance
Will the US use lethal weaponry to directly help Israel counter an attack on Israel before October 1, 2024?
17% chance
Will Hamas conduct a massive terror attack in a U.S. city before 2025?
5% chance
Will Hamas execute an Israeli hostage and release video of the killing.
20% chance