Will Lewandowski still be the captain of the Polish national team at the 2026 World Cup?
Will Lewandowski still be the captain of the Polish national team at the 2026 World Cup?
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@Morch I don't think it's possible that he would be the captain during qualification and then was replaced by someone else... And also aren't qualifications technically a part of the World Cup? Based on that I'm leaning towards resolving based on who is going to be the captain during qualification if Poland doesn't qualify and based on who is the captain in 2026 if they do.
Does it sound reasonable?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
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Get started for free! No credit card required.
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By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
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As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
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