New Glenn's furthest milestone in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
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Plus
31
แน€16k
2026
0.4%
No successful launch
73%
Successful launch
25%
Successful landing
1.9%
Reflight of a booster

This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.

(Rewritten slightly)

If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.

See the full list of markets at https://manifold.markets/news/everyday-astronaut-2025-predictions

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#Everyday Astronaut Predictions
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No succesful launch resolves NO

@JussiVilleHeiskanen It's dependent multiple choice, options can't resolve separately.

@Multicore i'm a noob, lol

Successful launch! But no landing yet. We'll see if they get one later this year.

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