How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2024?
38
Ṁ9616Jan 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
11%
2 times or less
87%
3 or 4
1.5%
5 or 6
0.5%
7 or more
Based on a series of questions asked by Everyday Astronaut on Twitter.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
I made a comment here about launch cadence of Starship and using F9 launch history as the baseline. I’ll be interested to see how they line up. The prediction for this year is only another 2 launches but I expect at least 3.
https://manifold.markets/Gigacasting/will-starship-launch-one-hundreds-t#ZeBUfYG896LApnwMD42S
Related questions
Related questions
How many launches will SpaceX successfully send to orbit in 2024?
Will SpaceX deploy any Starlink satellites using Starship in 2024?
9% chance
How many Starship launches will there be in 2024?
Will Starship launch at least 2 Starlink satellites to orbit in 2024
9% chance
How many Starship launches will occur in 2025?
How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?
How many Spacex Starship launches will there be in 2024?
How many Starship launches will there be between now (post IFT2) and the end of 2024?
Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
40% chance
Will Starship launch to orbit at least 7 times before the end of 2025?
75% chance