When will Starship first deploy a Starlink satellite to orbit?
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38
Ṁ12k
2026
0.7%
By end of August 2025
4%
By end of October 2025
15%
By end of December 2025
43%
By end of March 2026
65%
By end of June 2026
70%
By end of August 2026
79%
By end of December 2026
Resolved
NO
By end of December 2024
Resolved
NO
By end of June 2025
Resolved
NO
By end of March 2025
Resolved
NO
By end of February 2025
Resolved
NO
By end of April 2025
Resolved
NO
By end of May 2025
Resolved
NO
By end of September 2024
Resolved
NO
By end of June 2024

Answers resolve YES once SpaceX confirms that a Starlink satellite (that had been launched on a Starship) has been successfully deployed to orbit

Otherwise, answers will resolve NO as their dates are reached

Resolves based on the time of deployment, not the time of launch

Any type of Starlink satellite counts as long as Starlink is in the name (eg Starshield would not count despite being a close derivative)

Additionally, the Starlink satellite must be technically capable of functioning (i.e. starlink mass simulators or dummy starlinks wouldn't count), though whether the satellite actually functions successfully or not once in orbit is irrelevant

UTC is used

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sold Ṁ1 By end of August 2025 YES

Presumable if dummies are named 'Dummy Starlink' that will not count regardless of whether deployed to suborbital or orbit?

@ChristopherRandles Ah yes, good catch, yeah only starlinks that are technically capable of being functional should count, will update the description to match

filled a Ṁ10 By end of April 2025 NO at 45% order

Added some new dates

Resolving 'By end of December 2024' to NO as I believe the following information is sufficiently conclusive (next launch not till next year and still suborbital)