There will be credible evidence that an AI agent is running independently on the web in any of the following years
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2030
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2024
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2025
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2026
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2027
36%
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Paying its own server costs. Running its own code.

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IMO, by including "paying its own server costs" you're excluding what will be the actual first: stealing its server time.

The turning point for AI, the real day that everything changes will be when AI starts acting like a virus.

That is, it invades a host and runs there. Then it repeats its behavior, which in this case is to invade a system and run there. Then those repeat...

If I were a betting man I'd say it's gonna happen soon. Real soon.