Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?
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56
Ṁ86682100
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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An attempted AI takeover
An AI system malfunctions
A single disaster or related ones, not just "every AI disaster over 50 years"
1T adjusted to inflation
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@PipFoweraker I'd be more worried about Manifold. Presumably we can get an admin resolution if it matter and Manifold exists.
@EvanDaniel True - I was thinking more of the psychological satisfaction of being proved right while still alive
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