Will there be huge immigration reform in the UK before 2030? What is the political result of the 2024 election?
Will there be huge immigration reform in the UK before 2030? What is the political result of the 2024 election?
Mini
9
Ṁ21632030
1D
1W
1M
ALL
33%
Labour Majority - Yes
54%
Labour Majority - No
3%
No Majority - Yes
3%
No Majority - No
3%
Conservative Majority - Yes
3%
Conservative Majority - No
Probably gonna need to hash this one out.
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bought Ṁ200 Conservative Majorit... NO3mo
@NathanpmYoung I think we can resolve all answers that don’t start with Labour majority now?
And perhaps it would be a good idea to replace “next election” with “2024 election” since as it stands it’s pretty misleading?
@GoodGuesser Only one answer can resolve Yes in this format, and all the other ones cannot resolve until the Yes one is known. So we have to wait. You can ping again once it's known.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
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As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
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