Automatic Manifold arbitrage
Automatic Manifold arbitrage
Ṁ1,100 / 1100
bounty left

There are a lot of markets I want to be able to automatically arbitrage, but I don't know how. There are some bots that do this, but none (to my knowledge) are open-source.

This could be a feature on the Manifold website or an external open-source script.

If you implement this feature, leave a comment and I'll award you the bounty.

If you want this feature too, add to the bounty! Click the three dots at the top right, then "Add bounty".

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7 Comments


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1y

I might write this if the bounty was an order of magnitude or two higher

1y

If there was a bot that would automatically bet on all arbitrage in the market, it should be implemented by the site itself and thus eliminate all arbitrage.

1y

I am working on perfect arbitrage for any number of identical binary markets, accounting for fees, limit orders, liquidities, not accounting for latency.

I have implemented most of the important binary/cpmm betting functions into python, and have a functional but over-abstracted framework that can make automatic arbitrage happen. I currently estimate 5 more dev hours to make it working.

I don't feel happy open-sourcing it for M1000 though, would be happy to if it is M25k

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