MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will 2.8 billion people be displaced and 1.5 billion people would die within a 2.5°C of global warming by 2150?
Mini
1
Ṁ10
2150
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

The population would be 10.8 billion by 2150.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Will the world be hotter on average by one degree in 2 years?
6% chance
Conditional on at least 2 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
78% chance
Conditional on at least 3 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
74% chance
Conditional on at least 10 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
33% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050?
26% chance
Conditional on at least 8 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
41% chance
Conditional on at least 5 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
61% chance
Conditional on at least 15 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
24% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.2°C before 2050?
47% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2100?
59% chance

Related questions

Will the world be hotter on average by one degree in 2 years?
6% chance
Conditional on at least 8 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
41% chance
Conditional on at least 2 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
78% chance
Conditional on at least 5 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
61% chance
Conditional on at least 3 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
74% chance
Conditional on at least 15 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
24% chance
Conditional on at least 10 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
33% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.2°C before 2050?
47% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050?
26% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2100?
59% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout