Will manifold shrink from start of 2025 to 2030?
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Shrink by amount of users from 1st Jan 2025 to 1st Jan 2030.
Is the amount of users public info? I have no idea, I hope so.
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I see this as a one-way market. Either the userbase grows and it resolves NO, or manifold shuts down within a couple years and all the mana disappears.
From the stats page, they sold $10k worth of mana in the last 30 day. That's one employee at less than $120K salary. How much less depends on server/network costs and overhead ... it's surely a lot less.
That's not sustainable as a business. It can't shrink the userbase and stay alive, unless they extract a lot more revenue per user. Maybe that would work out, but I doubt it. Grow or die.
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