Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election? | Manifold

Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?

Plus

29

Ṁ1113

2029

46%

chance

1D

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1M

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Will AI, AI safety or issues related to the externalities of AI (such as job loss or economic problems due to autonomous systems, or autonomous weapons systems) be in the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election, as measured by Gallup Polls?

See, for example, Top Issues for Voters 2022 https://news.gallup.com/poll/244367/top-issues-voters-healthcare-economy-immigration.aspx

This issue must be top 5 when ranked by portion of respondents who rank the issue as extremely or very important.

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bought Ṁ50 NO

Will there be a market about this topic for the 2064 election?

lol

bought Ṁ29 YES

This is the us election right?

bought Ṁ50 YES

Seems arbitrage-able that this market was lower than the market below, given that I expect abortion to still be among the top-5 issues in 2028 (contingent on there being an election or world at that time).

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