Will we get AGI before 2030?

Once AI can predict the future better than any human it will be AGI

Conditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)

Conditional on AGI taking over the world, what will it do to the humans?

Will a humanoid AGI be used in a public setting by the end of 2025?

A government will build the first human-level AGI, assuming humans build one at all

By when will we have AGI?

Will we get AGI before 2044?

Will we get AGI before WW3?

Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?