Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?

Will humans create AGI, either directly or indirectly, within the next 24 months?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured?

What will be true about the first AGI that becomes accessible to everyone? [ADD MORE]

Conditional on a government building the first human-level AGI, it will be the USA (rather than China, etc.)

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

A full world government will develop before human-level AGI

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

What organization will be the first to create AGI?