Which company or organization will be the first to develop strong AGI as defined by Manifold?

Which company will create AGI first?

Who first builds an Artificial General Intelligence?

When Manifold's AGI countdown resolves YES, will Manifold users think that AGI really has been achieved?

Will Manifold users declare that weak AGI has been achieved during or before February 2025?

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Who Will Be the First to Reveal Human-Level AGI?

Will AI create the first AGI?

Which lab will claim that they have developed AGI first?

How long until we see the first report of a true AGI (Artificial General Intelligence)