Conditional on prediction markets becoming mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because commissioners at the CFTC changed their mind?
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https://richardhanania.substack.com/p/how-to-legalize-prediction-markets

Will resolve N/A if prediction markets don't become mostly legal in the US by 2030.

Jan 31, 1:49am: Conditional on prediction markets becoming mostly legal in the US by 2030, is it because commissioners at the CFTC changed their mind? → Conditional on prediction markets becoming mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because commissioners at the CFTC changed their mind?

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Caroline Pham is the new acting chairman and gave what seems to me to be a pro-prediction market press release:
https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/9046-25

OA Deep Research seems to suggest she'll be pro prediction market legalization: https://chatgpt.com/share/67a44ec8-cca4-8008-9b84-c7a8c8ff5ffe

https://manifold.markets/NoaNabeshima/if-prediction-markets-become-mostly

@NoaNabeshima

If prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it mostly because of a judicial ruling?
44% chance. https://richardhanania.substack.com/p/how-to-legalize-prediction-markets

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