On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
11
Ṁ17k
Dec 31
95%
2025-12-31 / 31st December 2025
65%
2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026
47%
2027-12-31 / 31st December 2027
32%
2028-12-31 / 31st December 2028
19%
2029-12-31 / 31st December 2029
16%
2030-12-31 / 31st December 2030

Each answer resolves YES at 00:01 on the date listed in the answer, if Keir Starmer is Prime Minister AND has been so continuously since his appointment following the 2024 election.

If he loses his job for any reason (including death/firing/resignation/losing an election) then all remaining answers will resolve NO.

Add more dates if you want more granularity.

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bought Ṁ20 2028-12-31 / 31st De... YES

Generally the government in the UK lasts for its whole political term and so does the prime minister, the conservative party (before the current government took power) experimented though with a series of short term prime ministers. Think like a disposable camera, but a prime minister version.

sold Ṁ41 2029-12-31 / 31st De... YES

On the one hand, it's really useful and interesting to see how different ways of phrasing the question bias my intuition, but on the other hand, it's a real pain in the neck trying to arbitrage all the various versions! Somebody needs to write a bot!