Will the UK withdraw from the European Court of Human Rights?
Mini
12
Ṁ2962033
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the UK ceases to be a signatory to the ECHR before the close date. This will include both the UK choosing to leave as well as being ejected as Russia was in 2022.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Background to this: the current UK government has been denouncing the ECHR for some time, and a few members of the Conservative Party are suggesting that they’d fight the next election with “leave the ECHR” as a manifesto policy.
I think it’d be unbelievably stupid to do so, but I thought that about Brexit, so maybe I shouldn’t rule it out?
Related questions
Related questions
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2040?
78% chance
Will the UK rejoin the European Union by 2040?
27% chance
When will the UK rejoin the EU?
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2100?
53% chance
Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?
53% chance
Labour Home Secretary publicly defy UK court ruling on deportation before next GE?
36% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2050?
63% chance
Labour initiates legislation to reform or replace Human Rights Act before next election?
35% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2080?
61% chance
Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2090?
63% chance