How long will the US federal government shut down for FY25/FY26?
26
Ṁ6667
Oct 29
4%
Oct 3
18%
Oct 8
6%
Oct 10
72%
Oct 15

This is measured as the LAST day of the shutdown

If the current US government shutdown goes PAST OCT 15 (11:59:59 PM EST), then all entries resolve NO.

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bought Ṁ20 Oct 15 NO

This question is poorly worded, so it’s free money if the author resolves the question based on the wording. I’ll happily take those odds for the government remaining shutdown after October 15th.

@O1 Could you please resolve the first 3?

@adonisds @mods I'm kinda new here. Does this question structure mean that one of the options will have to resolve yes? Did the writer choose that by mistake?

@adonisds I dont know if it was by mistake but yes this type is "dependent" and must sum-to-1. one answer will be chosen and everything will resolve at that point

bought Ṁ32 Oct 3 NO

@Stralor Is there no way to fix this? Can the market be annulled or can an option "other" be added?

@adonisds we can cancel it if it's clear that no option is good enough (i.e. market desc says "all options resolve NO if..." which wont be possible so N/A will have to happen)

@Stralor I wont trade on this info, but here's an insight: since it's the 11th now, that means Oct 15th is free money. if I end up having to fix the resolution, either it's guaranteed YES or you get your money back. but the creator is active so they'll probably be the one to pull that trigger

@Stralor Based on what you said, this needs to be resolved N/A

If the current US government shutdown goes PAST OCT 15 (11:59:59 PM EST), then all entries resolve NO.

@SimonWestlake agreed. we'll cross that bridge Oct 16th

@O1 What if it's not one of those four days?

@DanielTilkin Agree but just picked these dates...

@O1 So if the last day of the shutdown is October 6th, how will this resolve?
For that matter, how will this resolve if the government does not shut down?