Will the US give military support to Russia in 2025
Will the US give military support to Russia in 2025
19
Ṁ882
Dec 31
8%
chance

Resolution Criteria

This market resolves to YES if, before the market close date, the United States government officially provides military support directly to Russia. Military support includes:

  • Weapons systems or ammunition

  • Military vehicles or aircraft

  • Military personnel for combat operations

  • Direct military funding explicitly for Russia's armed forces

  • Military intelligence

The market resolves to NO if:

  • No such military support is provided by the U.S. to Russia before the market close date

  • Update 2025-03-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Weapons Transactions:

    • Both direct sales (where the U.S. government sells military equipment) and providing military equipment for free count as providing support.

Contractor Involvement:

  • Allowing U.S.-based major military contractors to sell military equipment to Russia is considered military support.

#️ Wars
#Geopolitics
#Ukraine
#🇷🇺 Russia
#🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine-Russia war
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
5 Comments
17 Holders
24 Trades


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bought Ṁ100 NO1mo

There has never been any arms sales between the two countries for the Russian Federation's whole existence. Not to mention all the sanctions on Russia since 2014.

bought Ṁ5 YES1mo

@vernalpool has the US ever been this friendly to them though? Seems moderately likely that the sanctions will end soon

Does selling them stuff count as providing it, or does it only count if it's for free like with Ukraine until now? What about just allowing US based major military contractors to sell to them (I'm assuming they're currently not allowed)?

1mo

@TheAllMemeingEye both would be yes

bought Ṁ5 YES from 8% to 9% 1mo
opened a Ṁ300 NO at 5% order1mo

Limit order on 5% open in case as anyone wants to bet Yes.

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