With the invention of cloning and CRISPR, there have been a number of proposals to bring back some of the animals that got extinct recently enough that we have their full genomes, like Woolly Mammoth. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/De-extinction
When will de-extinction be done successfully for the first time?
For this market to resolve positively, at least one individual animal of an extinct species has to be brought to life. The animal should live to the biological age of at least 1 month.
The animal could be produced by cloning, gene splicing or other means, but it has to be considered belonging to the extinct species. Genetically modifying an elephant to grow hair is not enough.
I do not bet on my own questions.
@traders There are news about the de-extinction of dire wolf, but so far I can't tell whether this is enough to resolve the market. Specifically, I'm not certain whether the produced animals actually belong to the extinct species, or just have a number of gene edits to make wolves look more like dire wolves without fully copying the genome. (This older article for example states that dire wolves were not very close genetically to the modern wolves.)
If there are any scientific publications related to this project, please post them in the comments.
@OlegEterevsky https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:Dire_wolf
Talk page on Wikipedia about this is kinda interesting. Don't have a strong opinion either way myself though.
@ProjectVictory Apparently there's already a dedicated page: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Romulus,_Remus,_and_Khaleesi.
I'm guessing that the Pyrenean ibex does not count?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pyrenean_ibex#Cloning_project
@JeffreyHeninger Good example. However it doesn't satisfy the condition that the clone has to live to the age of at least 1 month: "On July 30, 2003, one clone was born alive, but died several minutes later due to physical defects in the lungs."
Moreover, I don't know how I feel about the DNA material being harvested from a still living animal. Doesn't it defeat the spirit of de-extinction? I think it still technically qualifies, but I'm open to the discussion.