Will we discover evidence for the past or present life on Mars before 2030?
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Plus
31
Ṁ1996
2030
27%
chance

The question will resolve to YES if a strong evidence is found for life to have existed on Mars at any point in its history. The evidence should be direct, comparable to our evidence for life on Earth 3.4 Gy ago (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earliest_known_life_forms).

Lifeforms introduced by humans intentionally or otherwise don't count.

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Just to clarify, the current reports from NASA can be considered as weak evidence, so they don't resolve the question.

predicts NO

Relevant news: https://scitechdaily.com/excitement-builds-for-finding-life-on-mars-after-perseverance-rovers-ground-penetrating-radar-discovery/

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