Will a crewed Crew Dragon spacecraft or its derivative perform a flyby of the Moon before 2050? | Manifold

Will a crewed Crew Dragon spacecraft or its derivative perform a flyby of the Moon before 2050?

Mini

3

Ṁ47

2050

32%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves to ‘yes’ if a Crew Dragon (or one of its derivatives) enters the sphere of influence of the Moon (flies closer than 64000 km to the Moon) with at least one living human on board.

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Does it have to be crewed or at least capable of carrying crew, or would Dragon XL count?

What exactly does "flyby" mean?

@dp9000 Oh I meant a crewed one. I forgot to mention this in the title, my fault.

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