Who will be the prime minister of Canada after the next election?
➕
Plus
692
Ṁ1.2m
Apr 30
75%
Mark Carney (or other Liberal leader)
24%
Pierre Poilievre
0%
Other
0%
Justin Trudeau
0%
Jagmeet Singh
0%
Yves-François Blanchet

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LOESS curve of opinion polls of voters for the 2025 Canadian federal election campaign:

Dark mode for viewing pleasure:

Up-to-date as of April 4, 2025. 30-poll smoothing factor. Square root applied to sample sizes when weighting. Highlight ribbon is of 95% confidence interval of local regression standard error (not polling margin of error).

boughtṀ2,000Pierre Poilievre YES

@FoxKHTML Enlightened Chad

bought Ṁ7 Pierre Poilievre YES

WILL PAPA PIERRE UNCEREMONIOUSLY WIPE THE FLOOR WITH CARNAGE CARNEY AT THE DEBATE? BET HERE!

April 18th, Noon EST:

boughtṀ1Justin Trudeau YES

@Tumbles I'm glad that after realizing your jinxing powers you decided to use them for good

@Joshua I am a hero yes, many people are saying this

The only plausible outcome

SOON. Can't wait for a second helping of @Joshua 's librul tears

@dlin007 We'll both have egg on our faces when it turns out polls are so unreal that the Bloc wins a majority.

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bought Ṁ5,000 Pierre Poilievre NO
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