Nate Silver vs. Allan Lichtman stock | Manifold

Nate Silver vs. Allan Lichtman stock

Mini

14

Ṁ258

10000

Nate Silver67%

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Never resolves. Trade based on sentiment.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

Get Ṁ1,000 play money

Sort by:

I think Allan knows way more about actual politics and the history of it. He even teaches it at the university. But then he isn't really a gambler or statistician. Nate Silver might be better at actual math.

@NielS Allan knows nothing

Related questions

Nate Silver vs Manifold: Trump 2nd Term Predictions

Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2026 elections?

Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Trump's Second Term: Will Manifold out-predict Nate Silver?

Will Nate Silver win his Way-Too-Early 2028 Democratic Primary Draft against Galen Druke?

Which Trump 2028 Term prediction category will Nate Silver perform best relative to Manifold?

Which Trump 2028 Term prediction category will Manifold perform best relative to Nate Silver?

Related questions

Nate Silver vs Manifold: Trump 2nd Term Predictions

Will Nate Silver win his Way-Too-Early 2028 Democratic Primary Draft against Galen Druke?

Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2026 elections?

Which Trump 2028 Term prediction category will Nate Silver perform best relative to Manifold?

Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Which Trump 2028 Term prediction category will Manifold perform best relative to Nate Silver?

Trump's Second Term: Will Manifold out-predict Nate Silver?