When will be the first time a Republican presidential candidate wins D.C.?
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2
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2100
11%
before 2040
13%
2040's
11%
2050's
15%
2060's
11%
2070's
15%
2080's
11%
2090's
15%
Not in the 21st century

Resolves to the year in which the first presidential election where a Republican wins the District of Columbia takes place.

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Odd decades should be at a lower probability since they have one fewer election.