What product will OpenAI release next (After Sora)?
17
แน€2323
2028
61%
๐ŸŒ Web browser
5%
๐Ÿ“ฑ Another social app (After Sora)
14%
โŒš Wearable device (watch, glasses, ring, headphones, pendant, etc.)
5%
๐Ÿ”Š Smart speaker
5%
๐Ÿค– A Robot
4%
โ˜Ž๏ธ A Phone (with touchscreen)
5%
๐Ÿชจ Something similar to rabbit r1 (meant to go in your pocket and replace/supplement your phone)
1%
Other

If multiple things are released at the same time, or if the product fits in different categories, resolves equally between options. Only products that are part of the 7 categories below count as products for the purpose of this market:

  • web browser

  • social app

  • wearable device

  • smart speaker

  • robot

  • phone

  • rabbit-r1-like

Therefore, this market will not resolve to Other.

"Released" = available to general public.

  • Update 2025-10-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Same time means releases on the same calendar day; releases in the same week do not count as the same time.

    • For software, the release date is the first day it is downloadable.

    • For hardware, the release date is the first day orders are open.

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This market does not resolve to "Other". It was my mistake when recreating it, for some reason, the settings did not transfer fully. As the description says, "Products not mentioned in the market don't resolve".

at the same time

On the same day counts as at the same time? and in the same week but a different day doesn't?

@Bayesian On the same day counts as at the same time, same week doesn't. I think it'll be the least ambiguous way to rule it. For software it'll be the date you can download it, for hardware the day orders are open.

bought แน€100 โŒš Wearable device (w... YES

Posted outside of open ai hq

Next model is almost certainly gonna be an image one so imo other is majorly undervalued as they might release an image gen related app

This market does not resolve to "Other". It was my mistake when recreating it, for some reason, the settings did not transfer fully. As the description says, "Products not mentioned in the market don't resolve".

@ProjectVictory hmm, the market title seems to imply next as in the very next product to be released, might make sense to add "out of these 7 options" or "('other' resolves NO)" to the title if possible

@ProjectVictory unfortunately I cannot regain any significant amount by selling, but fortunately I only lost a small amount XD

@TheAllMemeingEye refunded you, sorry for the confusion

Smart speaker is probably underweighted here, i might even put the odds above the web browser

@Mad2live if you want to make a large bet (on the order of a thousand mana) on this, ping me