Lanterne Rouge Cycling Podcast 2026 Hot Takes Megamarket
3
แน€871
2026
41%
[Ineos] Egan Bernal and Brandon Rivera sign with Movistar before EOY 2026
24%
[Ineos] Joshua Tarling wins more time trials than Remco Evenepoel
76%
[Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4 times as many races (or more) as Arne Marit
34%
[Soudal-Quickstep] Ilan van Wilder has a better average finishing position than Remco Evenepoel in the Ardennes classics (Amstel, Fleche, LBL)
10%
[Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins the King of the Mountains at the Giro d'Italia
28%
[Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins a Giro d'Italia stage
50%
[Soudal-Quickstep] 15 or more WorldTour victories
61%
[FDJ-Suez] Demi Vollering scores the most UCI points of any woman in 2026
34%
[Decathlon] Win a stage in all three Grand Tours
59%
[Decathlon] Top 6 in the UCI rankings in 2026
60%
[Decathlon] Olav Kooij wins 4 or more WorldTour races
4%
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas wins Il Lombardia
5%
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums the Giro d'Italia
12%
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
76%
[Decathlon] 6 or more WorldTour victories
24%
[Lidl-Trek] Mads Pedersen does not win a WorldTour race
55%
[Lidl-Trek] Mattias Skjelmose leaves the team before the end of 2026
24%
[Lidl-Trek] Mathias Vacek wins a cobbled classic
30%
[Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season
34%
[Lidl-Trek] Juan Ayuso podiums the Vuelta a Espaรฑa GC

The Lanterne Rouge Cycling Podcast produce a series of videos in the cycling offseason where they discuss cycling teams, review their past season, and analyze, predict, and offer hot takes of questionable likelihood on their upcoming season. I will record any prediction or hot take mentioned in their podcasts in this market.

  • Update 2025-11-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "[Red Bull-BORA] Florian Lipowitz places better than Remco Evenepoel at the Tour de France": This will resolve N/A if only one of them or neither of them start the Tour de France.

  • Update 2025-11-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "[Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season": This will resolve YES only if Lidl-Trek finishes exactly 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season (not 2nd or 4th).

  • Update 2025-12-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "[Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4x or more races as Arne Marit": This will resolve YES if Arne Marit wins zero races and Sam Welsford wins one or more races.

Get แน€1,000 play money
Sort by:
[Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4 times as many races (or more) as Arne Marit
bought แน€10 [Ineos] Sam Welsford... YES

@RedzoneITG Does three count as 4x of zero?

bought แน€10 [Lidl-Trek] Mattias ... YES

@Eliza Yes. If Arne Marit wins zero races and Sam Welsford wins one or more, that would resolve YES

[FDJ-Suez] Demi Vollering scores the most UCI points of any woman in 2026

@RedzoneITG Actually a pretty interesting one. Buying Yes for now but womens cycling changes fast!

bought แน€10 Answer #cSOcENQdl5 YES

@RedzoneITG Strongly depends on the schedule they pick for Ayuso. I feel like the team will just send him to the TDF but I didn't read anything about plans.

[Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season

@RedzoneITG I assume this one means exactly 3rd, not 2nd or 4th?

bought แน€4 [Lidl-Trek] 3rd in U... YES

@Eliza Yep, 3rd exactly

[Decathlon] 6 or more WorldTour victories
bought แน€20 [Decathlon] 6 or mor... YES

@RedzoneITG I think they'll overperform, yeah.

bought แน€5 [Decathlon] Olav Koo... NO

@Eliza Yeah I was surprised on how low they seem on the team's top level ability. I think it also depends a lot on the team's scheduling and goals; they could probably win like 15 if they sent Kooij to farm sprints in weaker 2.UWTs, used Riccitello, Gall, Prodhomme, etc aggressively in mountain breakaways instead of aiming for GC, that kind of thing.

@RedzoneITG Since this is a "hot take" rather than a regular H2H prop bet, should it resolve even if one or the other fails to start/finish the race? So it resolves Yes if Lipowitz finishes the TDF and his finish position is higher than Remco (including if Remco does not start/finish the TDF), and resolves No in all other cases?

@Eliza I was thinking N/A if only one of them or neither of them start

bought แน€50 Answer #Qc9dLhCty8 NO

@RedzoneITG Alright, so just standard H2H rules, thanks for clarifying!

bought แน€10 Answer #8NqQEO62dl YES

Yeah probably better in one place than 27 markets.