MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will AGI and the invasion of Taiwan occur within 12 months of one another?
Mini
11
แน€394
2060
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves as YES if the emergence of AGI and the invasion of Taiwan occur within 1 calendar year (12 months) of each other.

#๏ธ Wars
#AGI
#๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
#๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ Taiwan
#TSMC
Get แน€1,000 play money
2 Comments
Sort by:
bought แน€10 NO

What has one to do with the other?

@EmanuelR chips

Related questions

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
-9% 1d31% chance
Contingent on Greenland invasion by USA, China invades Taiwan within 1 year?
32% chance
Would a China-Taiwan war shorten AI timelines?
19% chance
What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan?
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
29% chance
China invades Taiwan by August 1, 2025?
1% chance
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
30% chance
In what month will China invade Taiwan?
If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
40% chance
If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?
37% chance

Related questions

Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
31% chance
China invades Taiwan by August 1, 2025?
1% chance
Contingent on Greenland invasion by USA, China invades Taiwan within 1 year?
32% chance
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
30% chance
Would a China-Taiwan war shorten AI timelines?
19% chance
In what month will China invade Taiwan?
What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan?
If China does not invade Taiwan by 2024-12-31, will it invade Taiwan by 2030-12-31?
40% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
29% chance
If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?
37% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout