When will a robot zero-shot assemble a 100+ piece Lego set?
When will a robot zero-shot assemble a 100+ piece Lego set?
Mini
11
Ṁ207
2028
9%
2024
16%
2025
18%
2026
29%
2027
27%
Later

I will resolve this whenever a credible video is posted of an autonomous robot system assembling, from printed instructions, a Lego set that it has not specifically been trained to assemble. I will resolve to 'Later' if no such video has been posted by EOY 2027.

This does not have to be a general system; it is fine if the system is specifically trained to do Lego assembly, on other Lego sets. Applying stickers is not required.

#AI
#Technical AI Timelines
#Robotics
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