In November, will Manifold think that H5 bird flu was transmitting human-to-human prior to February 12th?
Plus
10
แน3163Nov 9
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
On November 1 in my time zone, I will create a poll lasting a ~week with this title and the following answers:
Was H5 bird flu transmitting human-to-human prior to February 12th?
Yes
No
Unsure/see results
If there are more YES votes than NO votes, this market resolves YES. (A tie resolves NO.)
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