Which of these series will have games on Nintendo Switch 2 announced before 2026?
23%
The Sims (excluding MySims)
22%
Halo
18%
WarioWare
18%
Mario Maker
17%
Super Smash Bros.
17%
Grand Theft Auto
17%
Call of Duty
17%
Nintendogs
17%
Microsoft Flight Simulator
16%
Luigi's Mansion
15%
Mario Golf
15%
Rhythm Heaven
13%
Fallout
Resolved
YES
Animal Crossing
Resolved
YES
The Legend of Zelda
Resolved
YES
Super Mario
Resolved
YES
Donkey Kong
Resolved
YES
Plants vs. Zombies

Main market: https://manifold.markets/Robincvgr/which-of-these-series-will-ever-hav

For each series, the respective market will resolve YES if:

  • A new game in the series is announced specifically for Nintendo Switch 2.

    • A game being announced for Nintendo Switch and the Switch 2 being backwards compatible is NOT sufficient.

    • A game with specific versions for multiple consoles (like how Twilight Princess released for both GameCube and Wii, or third-party multiplatform games) IS sufficient. (ETA: This includes Nintendo Switch 2 Edition games)

  • A port or remaster of an existing game in the series is announced for Nintendo Switch 2.

    • Emulations (such as Atari 50 or the Nintendo Switch Online service) are NOT sufficient.

Note that, unlike the main market, markets resolve when games are announced, not released.

All other markets resolve NO at market close.

Whether a given game is part of a given series will be determined by how it is described by a consensus of reporting. If a market resolution seems likely to be controversial, I may conduct a Manifold poll to assist in determing the resolution.

  • Update 2025-04-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If there are separate builds for Switch 1 and Switch 2 (like Twilight Princess on GC and Wii), that is sufficient.

    • If there is extra functionality on Switch 2 that most backward-compatible games don't get (like DSi-enhanced software on DS games), that is sufficient.

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bought แน€600 Animal Crossing YES

@SpaceCan resolves yes for AC:New Horizons NS 2 Edition

Super Mario

@Robincvgr resolves yes for mario wonder NS 2 Edition

Donkey Kong
bought แน€864 Donkey Kong YES

@Kraalnaxx I HAVE NEVER BEEN SO HAPPY TO BE RIGHT