Will Justin Sun (founder of Tron) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Will Justin Sun (founder of Tron) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
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Plus
15
Ṁ3816
2029
87%
chance

Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Justin Sun (founder of Tron, and reportedly also trade representative for Grenada, some sources say) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.

Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030. Part of a large question series.

Question is global -- charges in any country count.

Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if they are not found not guilty.

Examples that count: wire fraud, perjury, assault, arson, theft.
Examples that don't count: littering, possession of small amounts of marijuana.

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5mo
2y

'criminally charged'. whoops

2y

@jacksonpolack Admittedly that was a shortcoming on my part. Fraud charges by the SEC are definitely "serious", but I was relying a lot on the "criminal charge" wording.

New questions in the series are switching to anything "serious", which will include fraud charges by the SEC (which typically works with the DoJ, but the SEC cannot issue "criminal charges" directly). But I'm very reluctant to mess it up for people who bet on the assumption that the person must be criminally charged, which Sun technically has not.

TL;DR: We'll wait for Sun to get "criminal charges" by the DoJ/police, before counting as YES. Newer questions in this series will be switching to "serious crime" wording that would've already counted the SEC charges.

2y

@Jotto999 Ah wait, if I always include SEC charges on newer questions, that would include Elon Musk as YES.

I need opinions: should new questions include SEC charges too? Or would that make them less interesting?

Will Justin Sun (founder of Tron) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

2y

I confess I didn't know how to talk about the Grenada thing -- a cursory Google suggests he seems to have this position, I guess, but it's unclear how he got it's presumably to help give diplomatic immunity somehow? Anyway, apologies if this is more obvious, I just couldn't tell from the brief search I did.

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