Will OpenAI make a profit in 2025?
Will OpenAI make a profit in 2025?
Mini
6
Ṁ2202027
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
We wait until their finances for 2025 are officially published (presumably in 2026). This isn't about gross revenue, it's revenue minus all expenses.
Resolves "Yes" if legally-required filings show net income was positive for OpenAI during 2025.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
Before 2034, will OpenAI, Anthropic or Mistral have a profitable fiscal year?
72% chance
Will OpenAI make a profit in 2024?
3% chance
Did OpenAI make a profit during 2023?
4% chance
Will OpenAI have $1 billion in revenue in 2025?
96% chance
Will OpenAI have $2 billion annual revenue in 2025?
97% chance
Will OpenAI have revenues of at least $5 billion (ARR) by the end of year 2025?
93% chance
Will OpenAI reach $12B annualized revenue by end of 2025?
78% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?
85% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2030?
93% chance
Will OpenAI Reach $100B in total profit by the end of 2027?
19% chance