Which of these AI predictions will happen in 2024?
➕
Plus
51
Ṁ2479
Jan 1
16%
iOS update turning your iPhone into an intelligent wizard brick
21%
end-to-end music generators 2x better than Suno
31%
-Devin availability, and agents that can autonomously do real SWE
34%
agents doing all sorts of tasks, as a consequence of just swapping in stronger models
88%
Video-input, long-context models. Gemini-1.5 and similar available to the public
Resolved
YES
LLaMA-3 and GPT-4-level open-source models
Resolved
YES
More robotics advances
Resolved
YES
Sora public release, and the proliferation of hyper-realistic AI video
Resolved
NO
-GPT-5, which Sam Altman said could be "the pivotal moment" more than ChatGPT was

I will probably resolve these according to my subjective opinion and not operationalize strict criteria, please bet (or don't) accordingly.

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Sora public release, and the proliferation of hyper-realistic AI video
bought Ṁ20 Sora public release,... YES

@SemioticRivalry Well Sora released and there's a decent amount of decently realistic videos out there. The exact criteria seem unclear though.

iOS update turning your iPhone into an intelligent wizard brick

Resolution criterium?

@GazDownright It can cast spells such as Sending, Comprehend Languages, or Fireball.

@dph121 😂

end-to-end music generators 2x better than Suno

its not composition thats going to differentiate music generators in the future, but more of style, agree or disagree?

iOS update turning your iPhone into an intelligent wizard brick

elaborate a bit? If SIRI gets a major update - is that a fairly intelligent wizard brice? is it about agents in ios?